22.07.2025
In the world of technical analysis, there are few concepts as powerful or as telling as divergence. For a prop trader focused on finding a genuine edge, understanding divergence is not just a bonus—it's a necessity. It’s the market tipping its hand, offering a clue about a future move before it happens. While it can be spotted on various oscillators, it’s a cornerstone of advanced strategies for indicators like the RSI and, most notably, the MACD.
So, what is divergence? In simple terms, divergence occurs when the price of an asset is moving in the opposite direction of a technical indicator. It signals that the underlying momentum of a price move is weakening. Think of it like a car driving up a hill: the car might still be inching higher, but if the engine starts sputtering and losing power, you know the ascent is likely coming to an end. The price is the car; the indicator is the engine.
There are two primary types of regular divergence:
Bearish Divergence: This occurs when the price prints a new higher high, but the indicator prints a lower high. This is a classic warning sign that even though price pushed to a new peak, the buying momentum behind it was weaker than before. This suggests the uptrend is running out of steam and could be poised for a reversal.
Bullish Divergence: This is the opposite scenario. The price chart shows a new lower low, but the indicator makes a higher low. This tells a trader that despite the new dip in price, the selling pressure is fading. The bears are getting tired, and a reversal to the upside could be imminent.
For a prop trader, these signals are invaluable. They help you avoid the classic trap of buying the absolute top or selling the bottom. More importantly, divergence provides a high-probability reason to take a trade or manage an existing one. Spotting bearish divergence on an indicator like the MACD can be the cue you need to take profits on a long position, protecting your capital and drawdown limits.
However, it's crucial to remember that divergence is not a standalone entry signal. It’s a warning sign and a piece of a larger analytical puzzle. The most effective traders combine divergence signals with other confirmations, such as a break of a trendline or a key support/resistance level. By learning to spot divergence, you elevate your trading from simply reacting to price to anticipating its next move with greater confidence.